Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Bodo/Glimt welcome NEC Nijmegen to Aspmyra Stadion on 25 August 2026 for the second leg of their UEFA Champions League Play-offs tie, with the Norwegians firmly in control after a 3-1 away win in Nijmegen on 19 August 2026. The hosts are aiming to finish the job in front of their own fans and book a coveted place in the Champions League group stage.

NEC Nijmegen face a daunting task in Norway. Trailing by two goals on aggregate and having failed to score in two of their three Champions League matches this campaign, they must find a far sharper attacking edge while keeping a free-scoring Bodo/Glimt side quiet. With Champions League qualification, prestige and significant prize money on the line, this Play-offs clash has huge stakes for both clubs.

Stats suggest an open game: Bodo/Glimt average 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per Champions League match so far, while NEC Nijmegen’s games have been tighter but still feature goals at both ends when they play at home. With Bodo/Glimt already winning convincingly at Goffertstadion, the tactical balance here should tilt towards the visitors chasing the game and the hosts exploiting space on the break.

Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen Key Stats

• Bodo/Glimt are unbeaten in their 2026 UEFA Champions League campaign so far, with 2 wins and 1 draw across 3 matches.
• The only previous meeting between these sides in this campaign came on 19 August 2026, when Bodo/Glimt beat NEC Nijmegen 3-1 away at Goffertstadion.
• In Champions League statistics this season, Bodo/Glimt average 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while NEC Nijmegen average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: Not available vs Not available
• Goals Against: Not available vs Not available
• Clean Sheets: Bodo/Glimt 0 (tournament statistics); NEC Nijmegen 1 (tournament statistics)

Detailed group or league standings are not available for this Play-offs tie, but the broader Champions League statistics are revealing. Across 3 matches, Bodo/Glimt have scored 9 goals and conceded 6, highlighting an aggressive, front-foot approach combined with some defensive vulnerability. NEC Nijmegen, by contrast, have 3 goals scored and 4 conceded in their 3 games, with one clean sheet and one match where they failed to score.

Form indicators from the predictions data show Bodo/Glimt in stronger shape: their recent form index sits at 64 against NEC’s 36, with a clear attacking edge (75 vs 25 on attack). NEC do hold a defensive comparison advantage (60 vs 40), but that did not show in the first leg, where they shipped three goals at home. With Bodo/Glimt already proving they can win in Nijmegen, the Norwegian side enter the home leg as deserved favourites to progress.

Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen Key Matchups

J. Hauge vs D. Tadić

Jens Petter Hauge has been one of Bodo/Glimt’s standout performers in this Champions League campaign. In 3 appearances (all starts) and 178 minutes, he has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists, with an impressive rating of 8.15. His creative influence is underlined by 6 key passes and 111 total passes at 78% accuracy, plus 4 dribble attempts with 2 successful. Operating as an attacker, Hauge is central to Bodo/Glimt’s ability to progress the ball and unlock defences.

For NEC Nijmegen, Dušan Tadić is the primary creative hub. Across 3 appearances (2 starts) and 226 minutes, he has provided 2 assists, with 13 key passes and 96 total passes at 70% accuracy. Although he has yet to score in this campaign and holds a more modest rating of 6.8, his experience and playmaking remain crucial. This matchup pits Hauge’s dynamic, high-impact attacking against Tadić’s guile and vision; whichever creator imposes himself more could tilt the flow of chances.

A. Helmersen vs NEC back line

Andreas Helmersen gives Bodo/Glimt a powerful focal point up front. In 3 appearances (1 start) and 140 minutes, he has already scored 2 goals and supplied 1 assist, with a strong 7.75 rating. All 5 of his shots have been on target, and he has converted a penalty, underlining his efficiency in the box. Helmersen also contributes defensively and physically, with 24 duels contested and 3 tackles plus 1 block, making him a constant nuisance for defenders.

NEC’s defence has been mixed in this Champions League run: 4 goals conceded across 3 matches, with one clean sheet but also a 3-1 home defeat to Bodo/Glimt. Their defensive comparison index (60 vs Bodo’s 40) suggests structure, but Helmersen’s movement and finishing, combined with Bodo/Glimt’s 3.0 goals-per-game average, will severely test NEC’s ability to keep things tight away from home.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have only recently crossed paths in European competition, but the first leg already provided a clear indicator of the matchup dynamics.

• 19 August 2026: NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/Glimt (UEFA Champions League)

Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Everything points towards another strong showing from Bodo/Glimt. They are unbeaten in their 3 Champions League games (2 wins, 1 draw), have not failed to score yet, and average 3.0 goals per match. NEC Nijmegen, meanwhile, have only scored in their home fixtures and failed to find the net in their sole away game, with an overall attacking output of just 1.0 goal per match.

The prediction model gives Bodo/Glimt a 45% chance of victory, with the draw also at 45% and NEC Nijmegen just 10%. That distribution reflects both the first-leg result and the broader form indices, where Bodo/Glimt lead comfortably in attack and overall comparison (63.5 vs 36.5). NEC’s slightly stronger defensive index may help them avoid a collapse, but needing to chase a two-goal deficit away from home should open up space for Bodo/Glimt’s front line, particularly Hauge and Helmersen.

Predicted Score: Bodo/Glimt 2-1 NEC Nijmegen

Bodo/Glimt Recent Form

In Champions League recent tournament form, Bodo/Glimt have been impressive, with a run of results best described as solid and upward-trending. Across 3 matches they have 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 9 and conceding 6. They have scored in every game, including a 3-1 away win at NEC Nijmegen, and have yet to taste defeat in this campaign.

NEC Nijmegen Recent Form

NEC Nijmegen’s recent tournament form has been mixed. Over their 3 Champions League matches they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 3 and conceding 4. They have kept one clean sheet but also failed to score in one match, and the home defeat to Bodo/Glimt leaves them with a significant uphill battle in the second leg.

Bodo/Glimt Possible Starting Lineup

GK: N. Haikin or J. Faye Lund; Defenders: F. Bjørkan, O. Bjørtuft, J. Gundersen, V. Nielsen or F. Sjøvold; Midfielders: P. Berg, H. Evjen, U. Saltnes, S. Fet, J. Kitolano, M. Riisnæs; Forwards: J. Hauge, A. Helmersen, O. Brynhildsen, O. Didrik Blomberg, A. Mikkelsen, D. Bassi.

Bodo/Glimt typically set up in a 4-3-3, a formation they have used in all 3 Champions League matches so far. Expect a back four anchored by experienced defenders like F. Bjørkan and O. Bjørtuft, with a technically strong midfield built around P. Berg and U. Saltnes. In attack, J. Hauge should operate as a key creator from wide or in the half-spaces, while A. Helmersen provides a direct goal threat through the middle. With no reported injuries, the coach has the flexibility to rotate slightly but is unlikely to deviate much from the core that delivered a 3-1 win in Nijmegen.

NEC Nijmegen Possible Starting Lineup

GK: G. Crettaz; Defenders: B. Nuytinck, P. Schuurs, P. Sandler or T. Ouwejan; Midfielders: Jamiro Monteiro, D. Nejašmić, I. Hansen-Aarøen, W. Willumsson, V. van Crooij, E. Mor; Forwards: D. Tadić, K. Sierhuis, Koki Ogawa or B. Linssen.

NEC have alternated between a 3-1-4-2 and a 3-4-2-1 in their 3 Champions League matches, favouring a three-man back line with experienced figures like B. Nuytinck and P. Schuurs. In midfield, Jamiro Monteiro and D. Nejašmić provide work rate and distribution, while creative responsibility falls heavily on D. Tadić, who has 2 assists and 13 key passes. Up front, options like K. Sierhuis and Koki Ogawa offer penalty-box presence, but NEC must balance the need to chase goals with the risk of leaving space for Bodo/Glimt’s counter-attacks.

Bodo/Glimt Team News

No significant absences reported.

NEC Nijmegen Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Bodo/Glimt:

• None reported.

NEC Nijmegen:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen

Below are three data-driven betting angles for this UEFA Champions League Play-offs second leg.

• Result Tip: Back Bodo/Glimt to win. They are unbeaten in 3 Champions League matches (2 wins, 1 draw), averaging 3.0 goals per game, and already beat NEC Nijmegen 3-1 away. The prediction model gives Bodo/Glimt a 45% win chance versus NEC’s 10%, with the draw at 45%. Market odds for the home win range from 1.60 to 1.72, implying roughly a 58.1% to 62.5% chance of victory, making Bodo/Glimt clear favourites.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 total goals. Bodo/Glimt’s 3 Champions League games have all featured at least 3 goals (9 scored, 6 conceded), and the first leg ended 3-1. NEC’s home matches have also seen goals at both ends. While specific over/under odds are not listed, the attacking profile of Bodo/Glimt and NEC’s need to chase a two-goal deficit both support a high-scoring encounter.
• Value Tip: Consider a Bodo/Glimt win in a multi-goal match (for example, home win combined with over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals) where such markets are offered. Bodo/Glimt have scored in every Champions League game, with key attackers J. Hauge (1 goal, 2 assists) and A. Helmersen (2 goals, 1 assist) in strong form. With NEC forced to open up, a home win in a game with several goals could offer better value than the straight 1.60–1.72 home price.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.