Benfica vs OFI Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Benfica welcome OFI to Lisbon on 10 December 2026 in UEFA Europa League League Stage - 6, a fixture that could prove decisive in shaping the final League Round standings. With the match staged in the Portuguese capital and Benfica already profiling as one of the competition’s most explosive attacking sides, this is a key opportunity for the hosts to underline their status among the top seeds.

Despite both teams officially sitting on 0 points and 0 games played in the League Round standings table, recent tournament statistics tell a very different story. Benfica come in as one of the form sides in the competition, while OFI have quietly put together a perfect start of their own. That contrast between established European pedigree and an in-form outsider makes this Benfica vs OFI prediction particularly intriguing for punters and neutrals alike.

From a betting perspective, this clash offers several angles: Benfica’s high-scoring profile, OFI’s perfect defensive record so far, and the probability split of 35% home win, 35% draw and 30% away win. With no head-to-head history between the clubs in this competition, all eyes are on current form, tactical matchups and individual quality to guide expectations.

Benfica vs OFI Key Stats

• Benfica are ranked 4th in the League Round standings, compared to OFI in 25th, despite both having 0 games officially recorded in the table.
• There are no previous head-to-head meetings recorded between Benfica and OFI in UEFA Europa League.
• Across 6 Europa League fixtures this season, Benfica have scored 19 goals (3.2 per game) and conceded just 6, while OFI have scored 5 and conceded 0 in 2 matches.

Benfica vs OFI — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 4 vs 25
• Points: 0 vs 0
• Goals For: 0 vs 0
• Goals Against: 0 vs 0
• Clean Sheets: Benfica 1, OFI 2 (tournament statistics)

Officially, the League Round table has yet to reflect the on-pitch story, with both Benfica and OFI listed on 0 matches played and 0 goals scored or conceded. However, the broader Europa League statistics paint Benfica as one of the most dangerous attacking units in the competition: 19 goals in 6 games, including 14 at home, and an average of 4.7 goals scored per match on Portuguese soil.

OFI, by contrast, come from lower down the seeding order but have been flawless in their limited Europa League sample: 2 wins from 2, 5 goals scored and none conceded. Their 3-0 home victory and 2-0 away win suggest a side comfortable both in Crete and on their travels, built on a disciplined defensive block. The comparison indices back Benfica overall (total index 73 vs 27), but OFI’s defensive index is rated superior, underlining the clash of styles we can expect.

Benfica vs OFI Key Matchups

V. Pavlidis vs OFI back line

Benfica’s standout attacking threat is Vangelis Pavlidis. The Greek forward has been one of the stars of the Europa League so far, with 5 goals and 1 assist in just 3 appearances. He also appears at the top of the assists and yellow cards charts for Benfica in this competition, underlining both his influence and his combative edge in the final third.

OFI’s collective defence, which has yet to concede in 2 Europa League outings, will be tested at a completely different level in Lisbon. With Benfica averaging 3.2 goals per game and Pavlidis leading the line, the visitors’ back line must maintain the compactness and concentration that delivered clean sheets in a 3-0 home win and 2-0 away success. If Pavlidis finds space between the lines or on crosses, OFI’s perfect defensive record is in serious danger.

Rafa & creative support vs OFI midfield shield

Rafa has been a key creative and scoring outlet for Benfica, contributing 2 goals and 1 assist across 4 Europa League appearances. Alongside him, A. Schjelderup and D. Lukebakio have both produced 1 goal and 1 assist, while midfielders such as H. Sudakov, J. Kamiński and L. Barreiro have each chipped in with an assist. This spread of contributions makes Benfica far from a one-man attack.

OFI’s midfield, led by experienced names like A. Bouchalakis, T. Androutsos and G. Kanellópoulos in the squad list, will need to disrupt Benfica’s rhythm between the lines. With OFI’s defensive tournament stats showing 0 goals conceded in 2 matches, their central unit has so far protected the back four or back three superbly. The battle between Benfica’s mobile creators and OFI’s midfield shield could decide whether the game opens up into a goalfest or remains a tight tactical contest.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Benfica and OFI have no recorded recent meetings in UEFA Europa League. This will be their first competitive encounter in this tournament, adding an element of tactical unknown for both coaching staffs.

Benfica vs OFI Prediction

Stats suggest a clash between one of the competition’s most potent attacks and one of its most efficient defences. Benfica’s recent tournament form is strong: across 6 fixtures they have 4 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat, scoring heavily and keeping 1 clean sheet. OFI’s sample is smaller but perfect, with 2 wins from 2 and no goals conceded, highlighting their resilience and organisation.

The probability split is surprisingly balanced: 35% chance of a Benfica win, 35% draw and 30% for an OFI victory. That reflects respect for OFI’s early performances and defensive metrics, as well as the possibility that their 3-4-3 structure can frustrate Benfica’s attacking patterns. However, Benfica’s attacking index, goal volume and depth of individual quality tilt the prediction towards the hosts, especially with the match in Lisbon.

Predicted Score: Benfica 2-1 OFI

Benfica Recent Form

Benfica’s recent Europa League form is excellent. Their tournament run includes 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat across 6 matches, with 19 goals scored and only 6 conceded. At home they have been particularly dominant, scoring 14 times in 3 fixtures and conceding just 2, including a biggest home win of 6-1. The form trajectory is strong, with a current winning streak of 2 matches and no failures to score in this campaign.

OFI Recent Form

OFI come into this tie on a perfect Europa League run, with 2 wins from 2 matches and no goals conceded. They have shown they can win both at home (3-0) and away (2-0), averaging 2.5 goals scored per game while maintaining a flawless defensive record. Their form string is short but impressive, and they also boast 2 clean sheets from 2 fixtures, highlighting a well-drilled, confident side.

Benfica Possible Starting Lineup

GK: A. Trubin; Defenders: C. Lenglet, A. Bah, Tomás Araújo, S. Dahl; Midfielders: João Palhinha, L. Barreiro, H. Sudakov, J. Kamiński; Forwards: V. Pavlidis, Rafa.

Benfica have the squad depth to rotate, but tournament statistics and player roles suggest a structure close to their favoured 4-2-3-1 or 4-1-3-2. A. Trubin is the standout choice in goal. At the back, C. Lenglet and Tomás Araújo have both contributed goals from defence, while A. Bah offers width and an assist threat from full-back. In midfield, João Palhinha and L. Barreiro provide balance and ball-winning, with H. Sudakov and J. Kamiński supplying creativity and assists. Up front, the combination of V. Pavlidis as the main striker and Rafa operating between the lines gives Benfica both a penalty-box finisher and a roaming playmaker. Even if the exact XI varies, the tactical shape will be built around high pressing and rapid attacking transitions.

OFI Possible Starting Lineup

GK: N. Christogeorgos; Defenders: N. Marinakis, A. Poungouras, Borja González, K. Krizmanić; Midfielders: A. Bouchalakis, T. Androutsos, G. Kanellópoulos, L. Dickmann; Forwards: T. Fountas, K. Kodro.

OFI’s Europa League statistics indicate a preference for a 3-4-3 structure, but the squad list also supports flexibility into a back four if required. N. Christogeorgos is a leading candidate in goal. At the back, experienced figures like N. Marinakis, A. Poungouras and Borja González offer aerial strength and organisation. In midfield, A. Bouchalakis and T. Androutsos bring top-level experience, with G. Kanellópoulos and L. Dickmann capable of operating as shuttlers or wide midfielders. Up front, T. Fountas and K. Kodro headline the attacking options, supported by Aitor Cantalapiedra and others from the bench. Expect OFI to prioritise compactness, disciplined pressing and quick breaks rather than expansive possession.

Benfica Team News

No significant absences reported.

OFI Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Benfica:

• None reported.

OFI:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Benfica vs OFI

Below are three data-backed betting ideas for this Europa League clash:

• Result Tip: Back Benfica Draw No Bet or Benfica to win. With a 35% home win probability versus 30% for OFI and Benfica’s overall comparison index leading 73 to 27, the hosts are marginally favoured. Their 4 wins in 6 Europa League games and huge home goal output make them the more reliable side, even against OFI’s perfect but smaller sample.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 total goals. Benfica’s Europa League fixtures are averaging 4.2 goals per game (19 scored, 6 conceded in 6 matches), and at home they average 4.7 goals scored alone. OFI average 2.5 goals scored per match, and while they have yet to concede, facing Benfica in Lisbon should stretch their defence. The attacking metrics for both teams point towards a game with at least three goals.
• Value Tip: V. Pavlidis to score anytime. With 5 goals and 1 assist in just 3 Europa League appearances, plus a central role in Benfica’s high-scoring attack, Pavlidis is the standout individual threat. His involvement across goals, assists and even disciplinary stats shows how central he is to Benfica’s game plan, making him a strong candidate for individual scorer markets.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.