AC Milan vs Venezia Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

AC Milan host Venezia in Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan on 28 August 2026, with both sides looking to shape the early narrative of their league campaign. Milan opened with an away win and arrive in Round 2 already in the European places, while newly promoted Venezia are immediately looking over their shoulder after a losing start.

From a standings perspective, Milan sit 5th with 3 points after a 2–1 victory on the road, while Venezia are 18th with zero points following a 0–2 home defeat. That contrast in early momentum, combined with a heavily one-sided recent head-to-head, makes this an intriguing clash for those looking for AC Milan vs Venezia predictions and betting tips.

With Milan’s attacking talent and Venezia still adapting to the pace and quality of Serie A, this fixture has the feel of a classic big-club vs newcomer encounter, where control, efficiency in both boxes, and discipline will be decisive.

AC Milan vs Venezia Key Stats

• AC Milan have 3 points from 1 match with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded, while Venezia have 0 points with 0 scored and 2 conceded.
• Across their last four Serie A meetings (2021–2025), AC Milan have won every game against Venezia, including two home wins in Milano.
• In 2026 Serie A statistics so far, Milan average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Venezia average 0.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.

AC Milan vs Venezia — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 18
• Points: 3 vs 0
• Goals For: 2 vs 0
• Goals Against: 1 vs 2
• Clean Sheets: 0 vs 0

After one round, the table already reflects a familiar pattern: AC Milan in the upper tier, Venezia in the relegation zone. Milan’s 2–1 away win gives them an early cushion and suggests their attack is functioning, even if they have yet to keep a clean sheet. Venezia, by contrast, failed to score in their opening 0–2 home defeat and have immediately been dragged into the bottom three.

Over 1 match, Milan’s goal difference of +1 and Venezia’s -2 may be a small sample, but it aligns with expectations: Milan are targeting European qualification, while Venezia’s primary battle is survival. With Milan yet to play at home this season and Venezia yet to travel, this fixture will also offer a first look at how each side adapts to their respective home/away profiles in 2026.

AC Milan vs Venezia Key Matchups

A. Rabiot vs M. Dagasso

Adrien Rabiot has started the 2026 Serie A campaign impressively for AC Milan. In his single appearance so far, he has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in just 34 minutes, with 1 shot on target from 1 attempt and 12 passes at 66% accuracy, including 1 key pass. His ability to impact the game decisively in limited time underlines his importance as a box-to-box midfielder who can both finish and create.

For Venezia, Matteo Dagasso stands out more for his discipline and defensive contribution. In his 20 minutes played, he has completed 20 passes at 85% accuracy and committed 1 foul, receiving 1 yellow card. While he has yet to influence the attacking phase (0 goals, 0 assists), his role will be to disrupt Milan’s midfield rhythm. If Dagasso cannot contain Rabiot’s forward runs and link-up play, Venezia may struggle to prevent Milan from overloading central areas.

A. Cissé vs R. Loftus-Cheek

Alphadjo Cissé has emerged as an early attacking bright spot for Milan. In 66 minutes, the young attacker has scored 1 goal from 3 shots (1 on target), added 1 key pass, and completed 24 passes at an impressive 87% accuracy. He also won 6 of 10 duels and drew 4 fouls, showing he can both threaten goal and occupy defenders physically.

Ruben Loftus-Cheek, listed as an attacker for Milan and prominent in the disciplinary charts with 1 yellow card, offers a different profile. In his 56 minutes, he has not scored or assisted but produced 3 shots and 3 key passes, with a perfect 100% passing accuracy over 20 passes. His ability to progress the ball and create chances between the lines complements Cissé’s more direct threat. If both start or feature heavily, Venezia’s midfield and back line will have to manage a combination of power, movement, and creativity that they struggled to handle in previous meetings with Milan.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent Serie A history between AC Milan and Venezia has been completely dominated by the Rossoneri, both home and away. The scorelines highlight a consistent pattern of Milan control and Venezia’s difficulty in finding the net.

• 27 April 2025: Venezia 0-2 AC Milan (Serie A)
• 14 September 2024: AC Milan 4-0 Venezia (Serie A)
• 9 January 2022: Venezia 0-3 AC Milan (Serie A)
• 22 September 2021: AC Milan 2-0 Venezia (Serie A)

AC Milan vs Venezia Prediction

All indicators point towards AC Milan controlling this contest. Milan come in with a win, scoring twice in their only match so far and showing strong attacking numbers in both team and individual stats. Venezia, meanwhile, have yet to score in 2026 and conceded twice at home, highlighting early vulnerabilities at both ends of the pitch.

Head-to-head trends are stark: four straight Serie A wins for Milan against Venezia, with an aggregate of 11–0 across those fixtures. Venezia have not managed a single goal in that run, whether in Milan or at home. That historical pattern, combined with current form, suggests a game where Milan dominate territory and chances, while Venezia sit deep and hope to counter.

The prediction model gives AC Milan a 50% chance of winning and rates the draw at 50%, with effectively no probability assigned to a Venezia win (0%). While that split is unusually cautious regarding a home favourite, the direction is clear: Milan are strongly expected to avoid defeat, and Venezia’s win probability is negligible. Given Milan’s attacking quality and Venezia’s early struggles, a home victory with a clean sheet looks a realistic scenario.

Predicted Score: AC Milan 2-0 Venezia

AC Milan Recent Form

AC Milan’s recent Serie A form is positive. They have started the 2026 campaign with a win, scoring twice and conceding once in their only match so far. That result continues a broader pattern of strong attacking performances, backed by a 100% form index and high attacking and defensive ratings in their last-five metrics.

Venezia Recent Form

Venezia’s recent form is concerning. They opened the 2026 Serie A season with a 0–2 home defeat, failing to score and conceding once in each half. Their last-five indicators show a 0% form and attacking index, reflecting both the loss and their inability to find the net, even though their defensive index remains relatively respectable.

AC Milan Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Maignan; Defenders: P. Estupiñán, F. Tomori, M. Gabbia, S. Pavlović; Midfielders: A. Rabiot, R. Loftus-Cheek, Y. Fofana, S. Chukwueze; Forwards: A. Cissé, Rafael Leão.

Milan have been using a 3-4-2-1 structure in 2026, and the squad list offers multiple options to fit that shape. Maignan is the natural choice in goal, with Tomori, Gabbia and Pavlović among the central defensive options and Estupiñán providing width. In midfield, Rabiot’s early goal and assist make him a key figure, supported by the creativity of Loftus-Cheek and the dynamism of Chukwueze. Up front, Cissé’s scoring start and Rafael Leão’s established quality suggest a potent attack, with further depth from players like C. Nkunku, C. Pulišić and S. Giménez if rotation is needed.

Venezia Possible Starting Lineup

GK: F. Stanković; Defenders: A. Bella-Kotchap, R. Haps, M. Šverko; Midfielders: Thierry Correia, G. Busio, E. Bohinen, T. Bašić, M. Dagasso; Forwards: J. Yeboah, A. Adams.

Venezia have lined up in a 3-5-2 in 2026, and the squad composition supports a similar setup here. Stanković is a strong candidate in goal, with Bella-Kotchap, Šverko and Haps forming the back three. The midfield unit is likely to be busy defensively, with Busio, Bohinen and Bašić tasked with screening, while Dagasso adds energy but must avoid further disciplinary issues. In attack, Yeboah and Adams offer mobility and physical presence, but they will need better service and more composure in the final third than in their opening defeat.

AC Milan Team News

No significant absences reported.

Venezia Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

AC Milan:

• None reported.

Venezia:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: AC Milan vs Venezia

Exactly 3 distinct markets are considered below, based on current form, head-to-head trends, and predictive percentages. No specific odds are available, so value is discussed qualitatively.

• Result Tip: AC Milan to win. Milan have a 50% estimated win probability with an additional 50% allocated to the draw and effectively 0% to a Venezia victory. Combined with four straight head-to-head wins and a positive start to the season, backing the home side in the match result market is the logical play.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Milan’s only match so far finished 2–1, while Venezia lost 0–2. Historically, Milan have kept Venezia scoreless in their last four meetings, but only one of those exceeded three goals (the 4–0 in 2024). With Venezia struggling in attack and likely to sit deep, a controlled Milan win in a relatively low- to medium-scoring game appeals.
• Value Tip: AC Milan to win to nil. Venezia have failed to score in their only 2026 match and in each of the last four Serie A meetings with Milan. Milan’s defence has conceded just once in 2026 and historically shut out Venezia home and away. Any price that offers a reasonable uplift on the straight home win for the “win to nil” angle could represent strong value.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.