AC Milan vs Inter Milan: Predictions, Lineups, Odds & Tips for the Milan Derby

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Betting Insights

Here are the latest odds from bet365, accurate at publishing time but subject to change:

• First half 1x2: Draw @ 11/8
• Full-time 1x2: AC Milan @ 7/4
• First half BTTS: Yes @ 11/5

Level Scoreline Expected at Half-Time

Both sides will likely field several fringe players, so defensive solidity may not be what we usually see. Last season, Milan and Inter each conceded only 35 goals over 38 Serie A matches, but early squad rotation could disrupt their defensive shape.

Milan often found themselves behind or level at half-time last term, failing to lead at the break in 74% of league games. Inter had the lowest first-half goal frequency, with 21% of matches scoreless by half-time and no lead in 45% of fixtures. Their pre-season friendlies have also seen them tied at the interval.

The Nerazzurri drew with Karlsruhe and Manchester City at half-time during their friendlies. Milan trailed 2-0 at the break in their opener but came back in the second half. Two of the last four head-to-heads featured half-time draws, which feels like a safe call for this match in Perth.

Tip 1: First half 1x2 - Draw @ 11/8 with bet365

Milan Looking to Continue Recent Edge

Though Inter might seem the favourite on paper, recent matches tell a different story. Despite winning last season’s Scudetto, AC Milan clinched both league meetings with 1-0 victories. Inter's last win over Milan was in April 2024, marking seven games without beating the Rossoneri.

Inter have won five of the past seven meetings overall, so they remain dangerous. Both sides remain unbeaten in pre-season, making the outcome uncertain. But on neutral ground, and with some key Inter players missing, Milan could spring a surprise.

Tip 2: Full-time 1x2 - AC Milan @ 7/4 with bet365

Expect Early Goals from Both Teams

We expect no scoreless first half despite the draw prediction. Inter scored 89 goals in Serie A last season, showing sharp attacking power. Milan scored 53, placing them sixth in the league.

Both teams netted in the first half in 21% of Milan’s league games, ranking third in Serie A. Inter topped that stat with 24% of matches seeing goals at both ends before half-time.

Overall, nearly half of their league games saw both teams score. Inter frequently find the net or concede early, scoring or conceding within the opening 15 minutes in 14 of 38 matches.

Tip 3: First half BTTS - Yes @ 11/5 with bet365

Form & Predictions

The Milan derby takes centre stage midweek in Australia as two giants meet. AC Milan began a new chapter under Ruben Amorim after Massimiliano Allegri was replaced following a failure to reach Champions League qualification last season.

Many regular starters are absent as the team rebuilds. Rafael Leao and Luka Modric are among those who travelled to Perth, but neither is likely to play extended minutes in this friendly.

Christian Chivu’s Inter Milan side is also gradually reintegrating its first-team players. The reigning Italian champions aim to defend their domestic double and have started well in pre-season, winning friendlies against Karlsruhe and Manchester City (the latter settled on penalties after a 1-1 draw).

Inter want a strong showing ahead of their upcoming clash with Juventus.

• Score prediction: AC Milan 3-2 Inter Milan
• Goalscorers forecast:
• AC Milan: Francesco Camarda x2, Ruben Loftus-Cheek
• Inter Milan: Francesco Esposito, Andy Diouf

Expected Starting Lineups

• AC Milan: Torriani, Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Athekame, Ricci, Comotto, Bartesaghi, Loftus-Cheek, Ossola, Camarda
• Inter Milan: Martinez, Pavard, Bisseck, Bastoni, Diouf, Barella, Stankovic, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Esposito, Iddrissou