CSKA Sofia vs OFI Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

CSKA Sofia host OFI at National Stadium Vasil Levski in Sofia on 27 August 2026 in the second leg of their UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. After a heavy 3-0 defeat in Heraklion a week earlier, the Bulgarian side face an uphill task to overturn the deficit in front of their home crowd.

For CSKA Sofia, this is about salvaging European hopes and pride. Their broader Europa League tournament statistics show a competitive side, but the first-leg collapse has left them needing at least three goals just to level the aggregate. OFI, by contrast, arrive in Sofia with a commanding advantage after a clinical 3-0 home win, built on a strong defensive display and ruthless finishing.

With the tie finely balanced in terms of this single match but heavily tilted on aggregate, bettors and fans alike will be watching to see whether CSKA Sofia can turn their attacking numbers into goals, or if OFI’s disciplined 3-4-3 and perfect defensive record so far in Europe will be enough to see them through. Queries around CSKA Sofia vs OFI prediction, betting tips, and likely lineups are central to the build-up.

CSKA Sofia vs OFI Key Stats

• Across 7 Europa League fixtures this season, CSKA Sofia have 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 9.
• The only previous meeting on record between these sides saw OFI beat CSKA Sofia 3-0 on 20 August 2026 in the UEFA Europa League Play-offs.
• In tournament statistics, CSKA Sofia have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches, while OFI have 1 clean sheet from 1 match and have yet to concede a goal.

CSKA Sofia vs OFI — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: 10 (CSKA Sofia, 7 matches) vs 3 (OFI, 1 match)
• Goals Against: 9 (CSKA Sofia) vs 0 (OFI)
• Clean Sheets: 3 (CSKA Sofia tournament statistics) vs 1 (OFI tournament statistics)

There is no group-stage standings table available for either side at this Play-offs stage, but the tournament numbers still tell a clear story. CSKA Sofia have been involved in relatively open games: 10 goals scored and 9 conceded across 7 Europa League fixtures, averaging 1.4 goals for and 1.3 against per match. They have shown both attacking threat and defensive vulnerability.

OFI’s sample is smaller but impressive. In their single Europa League outing so far, they recorded a 3-0 victory over CSKA Sofia, scoring three times and keeping a clean sheet. Their average of 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per match underlines a side that executed a game plan perfectly in the first leg, and they now carry that confidence into Sofia with a three-goal cushion.

CSKA Sofia vs OFI Key Matchups

Bruno Jordão vs Aitor Cantalapiedra

Bruno Jordão has been one of CSKA Sofia’s key midfield contributors in this Europa League campaign. The Portuguese midfielder has 2 appearances with 1 goal, making him one of the side’s top scorers in Europe. His ability to arrive late in the box and chip in with goals is vital for a CSKA Sofia team that needs to chase the game.

On the other side, Aitor Cantalapiedra is one of OFI’s most experienced attacking midfielders. While individual Europa League stats for him are not broken out in the top scorers or assists lists, his profile as a creative midfielder suggests he will be central to OFI’s transitions and set-piece threat. The battle between Jordão’s forward runs and Cantalapiedra’s ability to help OFI retain and progress the ball will shape the midfield balance.

Pastor vs T. Fountas

Defender Pastor has been a notable contributor for CSKA Sofia, with 2 Europa League appearances and 1 assist to his name. As a defender with an attacking output, he offers width and delivery from deep, but he will also be under pressure to shore up a back line that conceded three times in the first leg.

For OFI, forward T. Fountas is one of the main attacking threats. While specific Europa League goal numbers for him are not listed, his role as an attacker means he will look to exploit the spaces behind Pastor when CSKA Sofia push forward. If Pastor commits high up the pitch to support the comeback effort, Fountas’ movement on the counter could be decisive.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have only just begun their European rivalry, but the first meeting was emphatic in OFI’s favour.

• 20 August 2026: OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia (UEFA Europa League)

CSKA Sofia vs OFI Prediction

Stats suggest a clash of needs and styles. CSKA Sofia must attack from the outset to have any chance of overturning the 3-0 aggregate deficit. Their Europa League record of 10 goals in 7 matches, with several games clearing the 1.5-goal mark, indicates they can create chances. However, they have also conceded in 4 of those 7 fixtures and have shown late-game fragility, with a notable share of goals conceded in the final 15 minutes.

OFI, by contrast, come in with a perfect Europa League record: 1 win from 1, 3 goals scored, none conceded, and a clean sheet. Their last-five form indicator shows 100 in both overall form and defensive index, underlining how solid they have been so far. The prediction model gives CSKA Sofia only a 10% chance to win this match, with a 45% chance of a draw and 45% for an OFI victory. That points to OFI being at least as likely to avoid defeat as CSKA Sofia are to win, even away from home.

Given CSKA Sofia’s need to attack and OFI’s comfort sitting on a lead, this second leg could be tighter than the first. OFI do not need to force the issue, while CSKA Sofia must balance risk and reward. A low-scoring draw or narrow home win feels more plausible than a repeat of the 3-0 scoreline in Greece.

Predicted Score: CSKA Sofia 1-1 OFI

CSKA Sofia Recent Form

CSKA Sofia’s recent Europa League form is mixed but generally positive: 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 7 matches. They have scored in 5 of those 7 games and average 1.4 goals per match, but the 3-0 defeat to OFI in the first leg was their heaviest away loss in this run. Defensively, they have three tournament clean sheets, yet they concede on average 1.3 goals per game, with a tendency to allow goals both early and late in matches.

OFI Recent Form

OFI’s Europa League sample is small but flawless: 1 match, 1 win, 3 goals scored and 0 conceded. Their last-five metrics show 100 in form and defense, reflecting that dominant first-leg performance. Domestically and historically they may be less experienced in Europe than CSKA Sofia, but on this evidence they are in excellent shape coming into the second leg.

CSKA Sofia Possible Starting Lineup

GK: D. Evtimov; Defenders: J. Gbamin, Adrián Lapeña, Pastor, Facundo Santiago Rodríguez; Midfielders: Bruno Jordão, M. Ebong, S. Sensi, M. Brahimi; Forwards: S. Godoy, I. Pittas.

CSKA Sofia have used a variety of formations in this Europa League campaign, most commonly a 4-3-3, but also 4-3-1-2 and 3-5-2. Expect an aggressive setup, likely with a back four and multiple advanced midfielders such as Bruno Jordão and M. Brahimi supporting a front line led by I. Pittas and S. Godoy. With three tournament clean sheets but 9 goals conceded overall, the balance between attack and defensive stability will be crucial.

OFI Possible Starting Lineup

GK: N. Christogeorgos; Defenders: L. Dickmann, Borja González, D. Nikolaou, N. Marinakis; Midfielders: A. Bouchalakis, G. Kanellópoulos, T. Androutsos, Aitor Cantalapiedra; Forwards: T. Fountas, A. Leya.

OFI lined up in a 3-4-3 in their only Europa League match so far and are likely to retain a similar structure, with flexibility to drop into a back five when defending. Their clean sheet and 3-0 win in the first leg underline a well-drilled unit, comfortable defending deep and breaking through forwards like T. Fountas and A. Leya. With a three-goal cushion, they can afford to be conservative and pick their moments on the counter.

CSKA Sofia Team News

No significant absences reported.

OFI Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

CSKA Sofia:

• None reported.

OFI:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: CSKA Sofia vs OFI

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back CSKA Sofia to win the match. The market strongly favours the home side despite the aggregate situation, with CSKA Sofia priced between 1.58 and 1.65 for the home win. That implies an approximate probability range of about 60.6% to 63.3% (1 ÷ 1.65 to 1 ÷ 1.58). Given CSKA Sofia’s stronger overall Europa League sample (4 wins in 7) and the need to attack at home, a narrow home win in the second leg is plausible even if they still go out on aggregate.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. CSKA Sofia average 2.7 total goals per game in their Europa League matches (10 scored, 9 conceded across 7), while OFI’s only match finished 3-0. The first leg was high scoring, but OFI’s incentive here is to keep things tight and protect their lead. With the visitors unlikely to overcommit and CSKA Sofia facing a compact block, a game that stays under 4 goals looks reasonable. Use the main goals market from your bookmaker at the prevailing price.
• Value Tip: Draw in the Match Winner market. The draw is generally available between 3.82 and 4.00, implying an approximate probability range of 25.0% to 26.2%. The prediction model gives the draw a 45% chance, significantly higher than the market’s implied range. With OFI content to sit on their aggregate lead and CSKA Sofia needing to chase but also vulnerable to counters, a 1-1 or 0-0 outcome is a live possibility and offers value compared to the odds.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.